Journal: Decision Analysis

Found 191 papers in total
Impact of presentation format and self-reported risk aversion on revealed skewness preferences
Impact of presentation format and self-reported risk aversion on revealed skewness preferences
2009,
This paper reports the results of an experiment on the revealed preference for...
A direct test of risk aversion and regret in first price sealed-bid auctions
A direct test of risk aversion and regret in first price sealed-bid auctions
2009,
Why do bidders tend to bid higher than the risk-neutral Nash equilibrium in sealed-bid...
Anchor selection and group dynamics in newsvendor decisions‐a note
Anchor selection and group dynamics in newsvendor decisions‐a note
2009,
We conducted a newsvendor experiment in which (i) the subjects were presented with...
Resource-limited multiattribute value analysis of alternatives for immobilizing radioactive liquid process waste stored in Saluggia, Italy
Resource-limited multiattribute value analysis of alternatives for immobilizing radioactive liquid process waste stored in Saluggia, Italy
2009,
This large Italian public works project started with the development of engineering...
Interpretation of the risk tolerance coefficient in terms of maximum acceptable loss
Interpretation of the risk tolerance coefficient in terms of maximum acceptable loss
2008,
Users (or would-be users) of exponential expected utility often seek a concrete,...
Optimal betting strategies for simultaneous games
Optimal betting strategies for simultaneous games
2008,
In this paper we consider the problem of optimal betting on simultaneous games when...
Decision-analytic approach to knockout auctions
Decision-analytic approach to knockout auctions
2008,
Society seems to have developed several ingenious schemes for allocating jointly owned...
Development of reusable bid evaluation models for the Portuguese electric transmission company
Development of reusable bid evaluation models for the Portuguese electric transmission company
2008,
Bid evaluation is the process of selecting a contractor from a number of bidders. The...
Getting the right mix of experts
Getting the right mix of experts
2008,
The Bayesian approach to combining expert opinions is well developed, providing a...
Incorporating path dependency into decision-analytic methods: an application to global climate-change policy
Incorporating path dependency into decision-analytic methods: an application to global climate-change policy
2008,
Climate policy decisions are necessarily sequential decisions over time under...
Eliciting subjective probabilities through exchangeable events: An advantage and a limitation
Eliciting subjective probabilities through exchangeable events: An advantage and a limitation
2008,
Two events are exchangeable for an agent when she is indifferent to permutations of...
Norms and descriptions
Norms and descriptions
2008,
This article addresses the problem of identifying conditions according to which it is...
Improving time-critical decision making in life-threatening situations: Observations and insights
Improving time-critical decision making in life-threatening situations: Observations and insights
2008,
In this article we present our concept of time–critical decision making,...
The relationship between perfect and imperfect information in a two-action risk-sensitive problem
The relationship between perfect and imperfect information in a two-action risk-sensitive problem
2008,
The ability to value information is a central feature of decision analysis and one of...
The value of information and intensity of preference
The value of information and intensity of preference
2008,
Previous research has documented the lack of clear relationships between the value of...
Valuing future information under uncertainty using polynomial chaos
Valuing future information under uncertainty using polynomial chaos
2008,
This paper estimates the value of information for highly uncertain projects whose...
Value-of-information analysis for nuclear waste storage tanks
Value-of-information analysis for nuclear waste storage tanks
2008,
This article describes an application of a value-of-information (VOI) analysis to a...
Aggregating probabilistic forecasts from incoherent and abstaining experts
Aggregating probabilistic forecasts from incoherent and abstaining experts
2008,
Decision makers often rely on expert opinion when making forecasts under uncertainty....
A comparison of two probability encoding methods: Fixed probability vs. Fixed variable values
A comparison of two probability encoding methods: Fixed probability vs. Fixed variable values
2008,
We present the results of an experiment comparing two popular methods for encoding...
An interactive search method based on user preferences
An interactive search method based on user preferences
2008,
This paper presents a general method for interactively searching for objects...
A decision tree model for evaluating countermeasures to secure cargo at United States southwestern ports of entry
A decision tree model for evaluating countermeasures to secure cargo at United States southwestern ports of entry
2008,
This paper presents a decision tree model for evaluating countermeasures to reduce...
Analysis of the biological clock decision
Analysis of the biological clock decision
2007,
The decisions of if and when to have a first child are very important for any woman or...
Influence diagrams with continuous decision variables and non-Gaussian uncertainties
Influence diagrams with continuous decision variables and non-Gaussian uncertainties
2007,
The continuous decision MTE influence diagram (CDMTEID) uses mixtures of truncated...
An elicitation procedure for the generalized trapezoidal distribution with a uniform central stage
An elicitation procedure for the generalized trapezoidal distribution with a uniform central stage
2007,
Recent advances in computation technology for decision/simulation and uncertainty...
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