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Journal: Decision Analysis
Found
191 papers
in total
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Decision analysis: The right tool for auctions
2007,
Rothkopf Michael H
For bidders in standard sealed bid auctions, I believe that decision theory dominates...
On the trend recognition and forecasting ability of professional traders
2007,
Weber Martin
Empirical research documents that temporary trends in stock price movements exist, so...
Quantifying and mitigating the splitting bias and other value tree-induced weighting biases
2007,
Jacobi Sarah K
This paper develops a model for estimating and correcting attribute–weighting...
e-Participation and decision analysis
2007,
French Simon
Decision analytic methods are being increasingly used to help to articulate and...
How effective are decision analyses? Assessing decision process and group alignment effects
2007,
Schilling Martin S
In this paper, we analyze approaches to assess the effectiveness of decision analyses....
Some comparisons among quadratic, spherical, and logarithmic scoring rules
2007,
Bickel J Eric
Strictly proper scoring rules continue to play an important role in probability...
The parimutuel Kelly probability scoring rule
2007,
Johnstone David J
Kilgour and Gerchak (2004) introduce a competitive probability scoring rule designed...
Using a software tool for public decision analysis: The case of Nacka Municipality
2007,
Danielson Mats
This paper presents a case of interval decision analysis using a tool that takes...
Elicitation from large, heterogeneous expert panels: Using multiple uncertainty measures to characterize information quality for decision analysis
2007,
Fischbeck Paul
Decision analysts are frequently called on to help inform decision makers in cases...
The 2002 Ryder Cup: was Strange's decision to put Tiger Woods in the anchor match a good one?
2007,
Hurley William J.
After the 2002 Ryder Cup matches, United States Team captain Curtis Strange was...
The respective roles of risk and decision analyses in decision support
2006,
Dillon Robin L.
Decision support models help structure and inform complex choices under uncertainty....
Parametric sensitivity analysis using large-sample approximate Bayesian posterior distributions
2006,
Hazen Gordon B.
When a decision analyst desires a sensitivity analysis on model parameters that are...
Exploring relations between Decision Analysis and Game Theory
2007,
Marx Leslie M.
Many authors, including Cavusoglu and Raghunathan in this journal, have argued that...
Adding extrinsic goals to the quality-adjusted life year model
2007,
Hazen Gordon B.
Methods for evaluating health quality are central to medical decision analyses. The...
A Bayesian decision-theoretic dose-finding trial
2006,
Mler Peter
We describe the use of a successful combination of Bayesian inference and decision...
Invariant utility functions and certain equivalent transformations
2007,
Abbas Ali E.
This paper defines invariant utility functions to continuous monotonic...
Some determinants of corporate risk aversion
2006,
Bickel J. Eric
In this paper we roughly quantify the degree of risk aversion induced by three...
Regions of rationality: Maps for bounded agents
2006,
Hogarth Robin M.
An important problem in descriptive and prescriptive research in decision making is to...
To Bayes or not to Bayes? A comparison of two classes of models of information aggregation
2006,
Budescu David V.
We model the aggregation process used by individual decision makers (DMs) who obtain...
The sensitivity of probability assessments to time units and performer characteristics
2006,
Budescu David V.
This paper examines the sensitivity of probability judgments pertaining to real-world...
A survey study of factors influencing risk-taking behavior in real-world decisions under uncertainty
2006,
Baucells Manel
With the goal of investigating decision making under uncertainty in real-world...
On equivalent target-oriented formulations for multiattribute utility
2006,
Winkler Robert L.
Targets are used quite often as a management tool, and it has been argued that...
Using attributes to predict objectives in preference models
2006,
Dyer James S.
Prescriptive decision analysis suggests identifying the fundamental objectives –...
Comment on influence diagram retrospective
2006,
Howard Ronald A.
Influence diagrams were first used in 1973 as a way to model political conflicts in...
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