Journal: Decision Analysis

Found 191 papers in total
A Polytomous Item Response Theory Model for Measuring Near-Miss Appraisal as a Psychological Trait
A Polytomous Item Response Theory Model for Measuring Near-Miss Appraisal as a Psychological Trait
2017,
Near‐miss experiences have been identified as a contributing factor in...
Modeling a Multitarget Attacker‐Defender Game with Budget Constraints
Modeling a Multitarget Attacker‐Defender Game with Budget Constraints
2017,
Though the choices of terrorists’ attack targets are vast, their resources are...
Directed Expected Utility Networks
Directed Expected Utility Networks
2017,
A variety of statistical graphical models have been defined to represent the...
Sensitivity of the Discount Rate to the Expected Payoff in Project Valuation
Sensitivity of the Discount Rate to the Expected Payoff in Project Valuation
2017,
A routine method in business is to value risky capital investment projects by...
Johnson Quantile-Parameterized Distributions
Johnson Quantile-Parameterized Distributions
2017,
It is common decision analysis practice to elicit quantiles of continuous...
An Overview of Applications of Proper Scoring Rules
An Overview of Applications of Proper Scoring Rules
2016,
We present a study on the evolution of publications about applications of proper...
Can Novices Create Alternatives of the Same Quality as Experts?
Can Novices Create Alternatives of the Same Quality as Experts?
2016,
The quality of alternatives is crucial for making good decisions. The process of...
Long-Term Care Insurance Decisions
Long-Term Care Insurance Decisions
2016,
The purchase of long‐term care (LTC) insurance is a difficult lifetime choice...
The Metalog Distributions
The Metalog Distributions
2016,
The metalog distributions constitute a new system of continuous univariate probability...
Search Before Trade-offs Are Known
Search Before Trade-offs Are Known
2015,
Search, broadly defined, is a critical managerial activity. Our contribution is a...
Use of Insurance Against a Small Loss as an Incentive Strategy
Use of Insurance Against a Small Loss as an Incentive Strategy
2015,
The success of extended warranties and buyer protection plans suggests that insurance...
The Composition of Optimally Wise Crowds
The Composition of Optimally Wise Crowds
2015,
We investigate optimal group member configurations for producing a maximally accurate...
The Impact of Learning by Thought on Violations of Independence and Coalescing
The Impact of Learning by Thought on Violations of Independence and Coalescing
2015,
This paper reports results from a repeated experiment on decision making under risk...
‘Gaming the System’: Decision Making by Interdependent Critical Infrastructure
‘Gaming the System’: Decision Making by Interdependent Critical Infrastructure
2015,
Supporting strong, resilient, and integrated critical infrastructure is vital to...
Modeling Public‐Private Partnerships in Disaster Management via Centralized and Decentralized Models
Modeling Public‐Private Partnerships in Disaster Management via Centralized and Decentralized Models
2015,
The objective of this paper is to help both public and private sectors make better...
Equal Tails: A Simple Method to Elicit Utility Under Violations of Expected Utility
Equal Tails: A Simple Method to Elicit Utility Under Violations of Expected Utility
2015,
Classical methods to elicit utility are biased because most individuals do not treat...
Theory of Generalized Risk Attitudes
Theory of Generalized Risk Attitudes
2015,
This paper develops a theory of risk attitudes that can be applied in a broad array of...
Optimal Betting Under Parameter Uncertainty: Improving the Kelly Criterion
Optimal Betting Under Parameter Uncertainty: Improving the Kelly Criterion
2013,
The Kelly betting criterion ignores uncertainty in the probability of winning the bet...
Optimal Policies for Reducing Unnecessary Follow‐Up Mammography Exams in Breast Cancer Diagnosis
Optimal Policies for Reducing Unnecessary Follow‐Up Mammography Exams in Breast Cancer Diagnosis
2013,
Mammography is the most effective screening tool for early diagnosis of breast cancer....
Product Line Design with Deliberation Costs: A Two‐Stage Process
Product Line Design with Deliberation Costs: A Two‐Stage Process
2013,
Motivated by the current practice of some service industries, we study a...
Decreasing Marginal Value of Information Under Symmetric Loss
Decreasing Marginal Value of Information Under Symmetric Loss
2013,
We investigate conditions under which the value of additional information is...
Effects of Risk Aversion on the Value of Information in Two‐Action Decision Problems
Effects of Risk Aversion on the Value of Information in Two‐Action Decision Problems
2013,
This paper analyzes the value of information in a two‐action decision problem...
Foundations for Group Decision Analysis
Foundations for Group Decision Analysis
2013,
This paper derives a general prescriptive model for group decision analysis based on a...
Toward an Improved Methodology to Construct and Reconcile Decision Analytic Preference Judgments
Toward an Improved Methodology to Construct and Reconcile Decision Analytic Preference Judgments
2013,
Psychologists and behavioral economists have documented a variety of judgmental flaws...
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