Keyword: judgemental forecasting

Found 11 papers in total
Group-based judgmental forecasting: An integration of extant knowledge and the development of priorities for a new research agenda
2011,
We review and integrate the extant knowledge on group-based forecasting, paying...
Biases in judgmental adjustments of statistical forecasts: The role of individual differences
2010,
Judgmental adjustments of statistical forecasts are widely used for improving forecast...
The impact of information of unknown correctness on the judgmental forecasting process
1998,
Modern organizations are awash in information. This information can be very useful and...
The impact of incentives on the accuracy of subjects in judgmental forecasting experiments
1998,
There is an ongoing debate in the social sciences about whether or not financial...
Accuracy of judgmental extrapolation of time series data: Characteristics, causes, and remediation strategies for forecasting
1998,
This paper links social judgment theory to judgmental forecasting of time series data....
The role and validity of judgment in forecasting
1996,
All forecasting methods involve judgment but forecasting techniques are often...
The impact of task characteristics on the performance of structured group forecasting techniques
1996,
A number of approaches (e.g. Delphi) have been developed to structure information...
Judgemental and statistical time series forecasting: A review of the literature
1996,
This paper reviews the literature on the contributions of judgemental methods to the...
Judgmental forecasting with time series and causal information
1996,
Although contextual or causal information has been emphasised in forecasting, few...
Remarks on the application of the analytic hierarchy process to judgmental forecasting
1996,
The analytical hierarchy process has been proposed as a method for improving...
An experimental examination of subjective forecast combination
1996,
Little is known about how individuals subjectively combine forecasts. This study uses...
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