Country: United Kingdom

Found 17295 papers in total
Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven-country data set
2004,
This paper uses forecast combination methods to forecast output growth in a...
Tentative business confidence indicators for the Italian economy
2003,
This paper concerns the cyclical evolution of the Italian economy and, in particular,...
Forecasting stock prices using a hierarchical Bayesian approach
2005,
The Ohlson model is evaluated using quarterly data from stocks in the Dow Jones Index....
A Bayesian threshold nonlinearity test for financial time series
2005,
We propose in this paper a threshold nonlinearity test for financial time series. Our...
Forecasting recessions using the yield curve
2005,
We compare forecasts of recessions using four different specifications of the probit...
Forecasting nonlinear time series with feed-forward neural networks: a case study of Canadian lynx data
2005,
The forecasting capabilities of feed-forward neural network (FFNN) models are compared...
Forecasting outcomes in spread betting markets: can bettors use ‘quarbs’ to beat the book?
2005,
In this paper, we examine a relatively novel form of gambling, spread (or index)...
Prospecting for gems in credit card data
2001,
After a brief high-level discussion of the nature of data mining, this paper describes...
Testing and forecasting the degree of integration in the US inflation rate
2005,
In this article we model the log of the US inflation rate by means of fractionally...
Predicting returns and volatility with macroeconomic variables: evidence from tests of encompassing
2005,
Tests of forecast encompassing are used to evaluate one-step-ahead forecasts of...
Factor forecasts for the UK
2005,
Data are now readily available for a very large number of macroeconomic variables that...
Forecasting international bandwidth capability
2005,
M-competition studies provide a set of stylized recommendations to enhance forecast...
Political manoeuvrings as sources of measurement errors in forecasts
2005,
We test the extent to which political manoeuvrings can be the sources of measurement...
Quarterly real GDP estimates for China and ASEAN4 with a forecast evaluation
2004,
The growing affluence of the East and Southeast Asian economies has come about through...
Regional econometric income forecast accuracy
2005,
Econometric prediction accuracy for personal income forecasts is examined for a region...
Long-term sales forecasting using Holt–Winters and neural network methods
2005,
The problem of medium to long-term sales forecasting raises a number of requirements...
Forecasting the dollar/euro exchange rate: are international parities useful?
2005,
In this paper we assess the empirical relevance of an expectations version of...
A leading indicator approach to predicting short-term shifts in demand for business travel by air to and from the UK
2005,
This paper uses the probit model to examine whether leading indicator information...
Statistical surveillance of cyclical processes with application to turns in business cycles
2005,
On-line monitoring of cyclical processes is studied. An important application is early...
Forecasting euro area inflation using dynamic factor measures of underlying inflation
2005,
Standard measures of prices are often contaminated by transitory shocks. This has...
Development of a multifunctional sales response model with the diagnostic aid of artificial neural networks
2005,
This paper proposes an approach that models and forecasts sales through a flexible...
Introducing reliability measures into multi-criteria decision-making
2007,
This paper addresses comparing Alternative Designs (ADs) of an engineering project by...
Forecasting and signal extraction with misspecified models
2005,
This paper evaluates multistep estimation for the purposes of signal extraction, and...
Reliability measures in multicriteria decision making as applied to engineering projects
2007,
This paper contains two examples of a combined application of MultiCriteria Decision...
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