Keyword: probability

Found 407 papers in total
Exact Sampling Algorithms for Latin Squares and Sudoku Matrices via Probabilistic Divide-and-Conquer
Exact Sampling Algorithms for Latin Squares and Sudoku Matrices via Probabilistic Divide-and-Conquer
2017,
We provide several algorithms for the exact, uniform random sampling of Latin squares...
Between First- and Second-Order Stochastic Dominance
Between First- and Second-Order Stochastic Dominance
2017,
We develop a continuum of stochastic dominance rules, covering preferences from...
A Higher-order interactive hidden Markov model and its applications
A Higher-order interactive hidden Markov model and its applications
2017,
In this paper, we propose a higher‐order interactive hidden Markov model, which...
Convex Hulls Under Uncertainty
Convex Hulls Under Uncertainty
2017,
We study the convex‐hull problem in a probabilistic setting, motivated by the...
Optimal Stopping Under Probability Distortions
Optimal Stopping Under Probability Distortions
2017,
In this paper we study optimal stopping problems with respect to distorted...
Predicting academic success by using context variables and probabilistic classification
Predicting academic success by using context variables and probabilistic classification
2017,
The aim of the study reported here was to predict students' grades based on context...
Optimal ordering policies in a multi-sourcing supply chain with supply and demand disruptions-a CVaR approach
Optimal ordering policies in a multi-sourcing supply chain with supply and demand disruptions-a CVaR approach
2017,
In this study, we propose a conditional value at risk (CVaR) model for...
Are People Interested in Probabilities of Natural Disasters?
Are People Interested in Probabilities of Natural Disasters?
2017,
Previous research has demonstrated that in naturalistic risky decisions people tend to...
Conditional expected utility
Conditional expected utility
2017,
Let E be a class of events. Conditionally Expected Utility decision makers are...
Nonparametric Profile Monitoring using Dynamic Probability Control Limits
Nonparametric Profile Monitoring using Dynamic Probability Control Limits
2017,
This article focuses on monitoring nonparametric profile with time‐varying...
Risk-adjusted Monitoring of Healthcare Quality: Model Selection and Change-point Estimation
Risk-adjusted Monitoring of Healthcare Quality: Model Selection and Change-point Estimation
2017,
Risk adjustment, which is used when healthcare outcomes are monitored, involves taking...
A recursive formula for the two-edge connected and biconnected reliability of a complete graph
A recursive formula for the two-edge connected and biconnected reliability of a complete graph
2017,
The reliability polynomial R ( G , p ) of a finite undirected graph G = ( V , E )...
Two Tales of Return Predictability: The Case of Asia‐Pacific Equity Markets
Two Tales of Return Predictability: The Case of Asia‐Pacific Equity Markets
2017,
If past prices can successfully predict future price movements, it would contradict...
Optimal search strategy for a three-dimensional randomly located target
Optimal search strategy for a three-dimensional randomly located target
2017,
In this paper, we formulate a new search model that finds a three‐dimensional...
Beginning Bayes
Beginning Bayes
2017,
Understanding a Bayesian perspective demands comfort with conditional probability and...
Minimum Scoring Rule Inference
Minimum Scoring Rule Inference
2016,
Proper scoring rules are devices for encouraging honest assessment of probability...
Unders and Overs: Using a Dice Game to Illustrate Basic Probability Concepts
Unders and Overs: Using a Dice Game to Illustrate Basic Probability Concepts
2015,
In this paper, the dice game Unders and Overs is described and presented as an active...
Linear Regression With Nested Errors Using Probability-Linked Data
Linear Regression With Nested Errors Using Probability-Linked Data
2014,
Probabilistic matching of records is widely used to create linked data sets for use in...
An alternative teaching method of conditional probabilities and Bayes' rule: an application of the truth table
An alternative teaching method of conditional probabilities and Bayes' rule: an application of the truth table
2015,
This paper presents a comparison of three approaches to the teaching of probability to...
Teaching probability: a socio-constructivist perspective
Teaching probability: a socio-constructivist perspective
2015,
There is a considerable and rich literature on students' misconceptions in...
Nearly exact sample size calculation for powerful non-randomized tests for differences between binomial proportions
Nearly exact sample size calculation for powerful non-randomized tests for differences between binomial proportions
2015,
In the case of two independent samples, it turns out that among the procedures taken...
Complementary information for skewness measures
Complementary information for skewness measures
2015,
This paper introduces some new elements to measure the skewness of a probability...
Equal Tails: A Simple Method to Elicit Utility Under Violations of Expected Utility
Equal Tails: A Simple Method to Elicit Utility Under Violations of Expected Utility
2015,
Classical methods to elicit utility are biased because most individuals do not treat...
Ambiguity attitudes, framing, and consistency
Ambiguity attitudes, framing, and consistency
2016,
We use probability‐matching variations on Ellsberg’s single‐urn...
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