| Article ID: | iaor201729 |
| Volume: | 39 |
| Issue: | 1 |
| Start Page Number: | 30 |
| End Page Number: | 35 |
| Publication Date: | Mar 2017 |
| Journal: | Teaching Statistics |
| Authors: | Erickson Tim |
| Keywords: | statistics: data envelopment analysis, probability |
Understanding a Bayesian perspective demands comfort with conditional probability and with probabilities that appear to change as we acquire additional information. This paper suggests a simple context in conditional probability that helps develop the understanding students would need for a successful introduction to Bayesian reasoning.