Keyword: judgement

Found 14 papers in total
On the use of conservatism in risk assessments
On the use of conservatism in risk assessments
2016,
The paper clarifies the meaning of conservatism in risk assessments. It is shown that...
A code of best practice for judgement‐based operational research
A code of best practice for judgement‐based operational research
2013,
Judgement‐based (or ‘soft’) Operational Research (OR) is used in...
Priority method based on possibility and error analysis for interval number complementary judgement matrix
Priority method based on possibility and error analysis for interval number complementary judgement matrix
2003,
The concepts of interval number complementary judgement matrix, mean complementary...
Judgement in learning-curve forecasting: A laboratory study
Judgement in learning-curve forecasting: A laboratory study
1999,
This study investigates whether human judgement can be of value to users of industrial...
Forecasting with Judgement
Forecasting with Judgement
1998,
Decision Analysis for Management Judgement (Second Edition)
Decision Analysis for Management Judgement (Second Edition)
1998,
Choosing the number of conditioning events in judgemental forecasting
Choosing the number of conditioning events in judgemental forecasting
1997,
One method for judgemental forecasting involves use of decomposition; i.e. estimating...
Going up–going down: How good are people at forecasting trends and changes in trends?
Going up–going down: How good are people at forecasting trends and changes in trends?
1997,
Prior studies of judgemental time-series forecasting have found that people have...
The impact of task properties feedback on time series judgmental forecasting tasks
The impact of task properties feedback on time series judgmental forecasting tasks
1997,
This study evaluates the impact of task properties feedback on the time series...
Adjusting judgemental extrapolations using Theil's method and discounted weighted regression
Adjusting judgemental extrapolations using Theil's method and discounted weighted regression
1997,
Theil's method can be applied to judgemental forecasts to remove systematic errors....
Evaluating the role judgment plays in forecast accuracy
Evaluating the role judgment plays in forecast accuracy
1993,
The majority of model-based forecasting efforts today rely on relatively simple...
Causal forces: Structuring knowledge for time-series extrapolation
Causal forces: Structuring knowledge for time-series extrapolation
1993,
This paper examines a strategy for structuring one type of domain knowledge for use in...
The effectiveness of imprecise probability forecasts
The effectiveness of imprecise probability forecasts
1993,
In this paper the authors investigate the feasibility of algorithmically deriving...
Thinking about the future: A cognitive perspective
Thinking about the future: A cognitive perspective
1993,
The promises and challenges of a cognitive approach to strategic planning and...
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