Article ID: | iaor19983138 |
Country: | United Kingdom |
Volume: | 25 |
Issue: | 2 |
Start Page Number: | 135 |
End Page Number: | 144 |
Publication Date: | Apr 1997 |
Journal: | OMEGA |
Authors: | Sanders N.R. |
Keywords: | judgement |
This study evaluates the impact of task properties feedback on the time series forecast accuracy of four different judgmental forecasting processes. Specifically, we test the impact of providing information on time series data patterns and degree of noise level to knowledgeable subjects to interpret this information. Ninety-eight subjects were used as the source of the individual and three-person group forecasts for eight artificial time series with varying patterns and noise levels. Our findings show that such task properties feedback leads to improvements in forecast accuracy for