Numerical experiments on discretization of the random inflow to a nonseasonal reservoir

Numerical experiments on discretization of the random inflow to a nonseasonal reservoir

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Article ID: iaor19992011
Country: Canada
Volume: 36
Issue: 4
Start Page Number: 247
End Page Number: 260
Publication Date: Nov 1998
Journal: INFOR
Authors: ,
Keywords: water, energy, probability
Abstract:

We performed a series of numerical experiments in order to study the effect of discretizing the probability distribution of the natural inflows, on the accuracy of the optimal solution of a stochastic dynamic programming model, for the management of a hydroelectric reservoir with a piecewise linear revenue function. We evaluated the error obtained as a function of the coarseness of the discretization on a regular grid, and we compared it with the error of a method based on Gaussian quadrature. We find that the relative error of the Gaussian quadrature method is almost as large as with the deterministic solution.

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