Keyword: forecasting: applications

Found 1283 papers in total
Using state polls to forecast presidential election outcomes in the American states
Using state polls to forecast presidential election outcomes in the American states
1999,
This paper presents a simple forecasting model for state-level presidential outcomes,...
Toward stability in presidential forecasting: The development of a multiple indicator model
Toward stability in presidential forecasting: The development of a multiple indicator model
1999,
Most election forecasting models rely on single indicators for such complex variables...
Local votes, national forecasts – using local government by-elections in Britain to estimate party support
Local votes, national forecasts – using local government by-elections in Britain to estimate party support
1999,
In the wake of the debacle suffered by the opinion polls at the 1992 British general...
Polls fail in France: Forecasts of the 1997 legislative election
Polls fail in France: Forecasts of the 1997 legislative election
1999,
In France, political observers and politicians pay considerable attention to public...
Voters as forecasters: A micromodel of election prediction
Voters as forecasters: A micromodel of election prediction
1999,
Much presidential election forecasting research employs macromodels based on national...
Forecasting long memory left–right political orientations
Forecasting long memory left–right political orientations
1999,
This paper considers out-of-sample forecasting of left–right political...
Power transformation and forecasting the magnitude of exchange rate changes
Power transformation and forecasting the magnitude of exchange rate changes
1999,
This paper examines the impact of power transformations on the forecasting performance...
Testing the efficiency and rationality of city forecasts
Testing the efficiency and rationality of city forecasts
1999,
This paper examines the accuracy of city forecasts of UK data releases as collected by...
Seasonal unit roots and forecasts of two-digit European industrial production
Seasonal unit roots and forecasts of two-digit European industrial production
1999,
Monthly industrial production in important sectors of the German, French and UK...
Correlating MRP system nervousness with forecast errors
Correlating MRP system nervousness with forecast errors
1998,
The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of forecasting errors on the...
Forecasting Singapore's quarterly GDP with monthly external trade
Forecasting Singapore's quarterly GDP with monthly external trade
1998,
In this paper we suggest a methodology to formulate a dynamic regression with...
Lead time selection and the behaviour of work flow in job shops
Lead time selection and the behaviour of work flow in job shops
1998,
Few studies in job shop scheduling consider dynamic shop load and work flow issues....
Shifting the balance of health care into the 21st century
Shifting the balance of health care into the 21st century
1998,
Some of the present or likely future key shifts in the balance of health care in...
A Bayesian approach to modelling the observed Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy epidemic
A Bayesian approach to modelling the observed Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy epidemic
1997,
The threat of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) to humans was realized in March...
Portfolio optimization with a neural network implementation of the coherent market hypothesis
Portfolio optimization with a neural network implementation of the coherent market hypothesis
1997,
Capital market research seems to be widely governed by traditional static linear...
Estimating the cost of capital through time: An analysis of the sources of error
Estimating the cost of capital through time: An analysis of the sources of error
1998,
Practitioners needing estimates of a firm's equity cost of capital have long relied on...
A method for forecasting owner monthly construction project expenditure flow
A method for forecasting owner monthly construction project expenditure flow
1998,
Under the normal conditions of construction contracts, the client is obliged to pay...
Twenty five years of floating: Some observations
Twenty five years of floating: Some observations
1998,
Since the collapse of the Bretton Woods System, countries have adopted a variety of...
Threshold-autoregressive, median-unbiased, and cointegration tests of purchasing power parity
Threshold-autoregressive, median-unbiased, and cointegration tests of purchasing power parity
1998,
We use Dickey–Fuller tests, threshold autoregressive unit-root tests, median...
Structural VAR, MARMA and open economy models
Structural VAR, MARMA and open economy models
1998,
In this paper we examine a number of issues in the context of structural VAR and MARMA...
A GARCH model of the implied volatility of the Swiss market index from option prices
A GARCH model of the implied volatility of the Swiss market index from option prices
1998,
This paper estimates the implied stochastic process of the volatility of the Swiss...
The stock price–volume relationship in emerging stock markets: the case of Latin America
The stock price–volume relationship in emerging stock markets: the case of Latin America
1998,
This paper examines the stock price–volume in a set of Latin American markets....
Fundamental information and share prices in Japan: evidence from earning surprises and management predictions
Fundamental information and share prices in Japan: evidence from earning surprises and management predictions
1998,
Over the period 1985–1993, company-specific earnings fundamentals play a...
Forecasting economic time series using flexible versus fixed specification and linear versus nonlinear econometric models
Forecasting economic time series using flexible versus fixed specification and linear versus nonlinear econometric models
1997,
Nine macroeconomic variables are forecast in a real-time scenario using a variety of...
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