A Bayesian approach to modelling the observed Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy epidemic

A Bayesian approach to modelling the observed Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy epidemic

0.00 Avg rating0 Votes
Article ID: iaor19991866
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 16
Issue: 5
Start Page Number: 355
End Page Number: 374
Publication Date: Sep 1997
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Authors: ,
Keywords: forecasting: applications
Abstract:

The threat of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) to humans was realized in March 1996, when the Spongiform Encephalopathy Advisory Committee (SEAC) reported to the government that the most likely explanation of the new variant Creutzfeldt – Jakob Disease (nvCJD) in humans was exposure to the BSE agent. To assess the potential risk of nvCJD, it is necessary to understand the development of the BSE epidemic within the cattle population. This paper reports on work undertaken to model the observed BSE epidemic in the UK using established Bayesian methodology.

Reviews

Required fields are marked *. Your email address will not be published.