Keyword: forecasting: applications

Found 1283 papers in total
Forecasting electricity prices for a day-ahead pool-based electric energy market
2005,
This paper considers forecasting techniques to predict the 24 market-clearing prices...
A monthly crude oil spot price forecasting model using relative inventories
2005,
This paper presents a short-term forecasting model of monthly West Texas Intermediate...
Odds-setters as forecasters: The case of English football
2005,
Sets of odds issued by bookmakers may be interpreted as incorporating implicit...
Predicting the World Cup 2002 in soccer: Performance and confidence of experts and non-experts
2005,
This paper investigates the forecasting performance and confidence of experts and...
Strategy and prediction: Predicting total usage of a common pool resource
2002,
In this article we are dealing with the question how individuals forecast mean...
Relationships between climate and winter cereal grain quality in Finland and their potential for forecasting
2004,
Many studies have demonstrated the effects of climate on cereal yield, but there has...
Ranking crop yield models using out-of-sample likelihood functions
2004,
There has been considerable debate regarding which probability distribution best...
Population dynamics of a tropical palm: use of a genetic algorithm for inverse parameter estimation
2004,
The tropical palm species Iriartea deltoidea is an important resource in Amazonian...
Height–diameter models for Scots pine and birch in Finland
2005,
Height–Diameter (H–D) models for two shade-intolerant tree species were...
Multilevel modelling of height growth in young Norway spruce plantations in southern Finland
2005,
Height development of Norway spruce ( Picea abies (L.) Karst.) transplants was studied...
Predicting system usage from intention and past use: Scale issues in the predictors
2005,
The objective of this study is to provide insights into how the predictive power for...
Forecasting telecommunication new service demand by analogy method and combined forecast
2005,
in the modeling forecast field, we are usually faced with the more difficult problems...
A comparison of financial duration models via density forecasts
2004,
Using density forecast evaluation techniques, we compare the predictive performance of...
A direct test of the information content of the OECD growth forecasts
2005,
We develop a regression test to evaluate forecasts relative to the naïve...
Macro variables and international stock return predictability
2005,
In this paper, we examine the predictability of stock returns using macroeconomic...
An empirical comparison of default risk forecasts from alternative credit rating philosophies
2005,
The New Basel Capital Accord will allow the determination of banks' regulatory capital...
Alternative methods of forecasting risks in Naval manpower planning
2005,
This paper compares qualitative and quantitative methods to incorporate risk in...
Evaluating consumer sentiments as predictors of UK household consumption behavior: Are they accurate and useful?
2004,
This paper investigates empirically whether consumer sentiments indices, based on...
The value of statistical forecasts in the UK Association Football betting market
2004,
In this paper, we evaluate the economic significance of statistical forecasts of UK...
Decomposition by causal forces: a procedure for forecasting complex time series
2005,
Causal forces are a way of summarizing forecasters' expectations about what will...
Regression models for forecasting goals and match results in association football
2005,
In the previous literature, two approaches have been used to model match outcomes in...
An analytic network process model for financial-crisis forecasting
2004,
We discuss and develop an imbalance-crisis turning point model to forecast the...
Value line and I/B/E/S earnings forecasts
2005,
This paper compares Value Line and Institutional Brokers Estimate System (I/B/E/S)...
Predicting the volatility of the S&P-500 stock index via GARCH models: the role of asymmetries
2005,
In this paper, we examine the relative out of sample predictive ability of different...
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