Journal: International Journal of Forecasting

Found 1200 papers in total
A comparison of quarterly earnings per share forecasts using James-Stein and unconditional least squares parameter estimators
A comparison of quarterly earnings per share forecasts using James-Stein and unconditional least squares parameter estimators
1989,
This study provides evidence which suggests that the use of the James-Stein shrinkage...
Forecasts and actuals: The trade-off between timeliness and accuracy
Forecasts and actuals: The trade-off between timeliness and accuracy
1989,
The process of estimating GNP starts with forecasts made years before a quarter has...
Beyond accuracy
Beyond accuracy
1989,
Long-range, political-economic forecasting cannot be appraised in terms of empirically...
Model selection and estimation for technological growth curves
Model selection and estimation for technological growth curves
1989,
This paper deals with the selection and estimation of the appropriate form of a growth...
Allowing for asymmetry in forecast errors: Results from a Monte-Carlo study
Allowing for asymmetry in forecast errors: Results from a Monte-Carlo study
1989,
The paper presents an heuristic to estimate the distribution of future values in a...
A mathematical programming model for market share prediction
A mathematical programming model for market share prediction
1989,
The primary objective of the multiattribute models in the area of marketing is to...
An analogical approach to the long term forecasting of major new product sales
An analogical approach to the long term forecasting of major new product sales
1989,
This article shows that new product sales follow a wide variety of diffusion patterns....
Predicting job performance: A comparison of expert opinion and research findings
Predicting job performance: A comparison of expert opinion and research findings
1989,
A survey was conducted of New Zealand personnel consultants. Their beliefs about the...
Labor supply over the life cycle: The long-term forecasting problem
Labor supply over the life cycle: The long-term forecasting problem
1989,
It would be very useful to be able to make long-term forecasts of age variations in...
Dynamic relationship analysis of U.S. gasoline and crude oil prices
Dynamic relationship analysis of U.S. gasoline and crude oil prices
1991,
This paper studies the dynamic relationships between U.S. gasoline prices, crude oil...
When and how to use scenario planning: A heuristic approach with illustration
When and how to use scenario planning: A heuristic approach with illustration
1991,
This paper offers a step-by-step analysis of a heuristic approach to scenario...
A Bayesian forecasting model for sequential bidding
A Bayesian forecasting model for sequential bidding
1991,
In this paper the authors consider the problem facing a company in selecting the...
Forecasting for business planning: A case study of IBM product sales
Forecasting for business planning: A case study of IBM product sales
1991,
This is a case study of a closely managed product. Its purpose is to determine whether...
Efficient use of information in the formation of subjective industry forecasts
Efficient use of information in the formation of subjective industry forecasts
1991,
The paper considers the use of information by a panel of expert industry forecasters,...
Forecasting market potential and market penetration of residential water heater load control programs
Forecasting market potential and market penetration of residential water heater load control programs
1991,
This paper presents a model which estimates market potential and forecasts market...
Criterion-referenced judgemental forecasting models
Criterion-referenced judgemental forecasting models
1991,
Human judgements are usually made with reference to a criteria such as cost or profit....
Models for the assessment of the value of forecast information
Models for the assessment of the value of forecast information
1991,
This paper reviews, extends and applies alternative normative decision models for the...
Parameter sensitivities, Monte Carlo filtering, and model forecasting under uncertainty
Parameter sensitivities, Monte Carlo filtering, and model forecasting under uncertainty
1991,
Complex models are often used to make predictions of environmental effects over a...
Recursive forecasting, smoothing and seasonal adjustment of non-stationary environmental data
Recursive forecasting, smoothing and seasonal adjustment of non-stationary environmental data
1991,
The paper presents a unified fully recursive approach to the modelling, forecasting...
Exponential smoothing: Estimation by maximum likelihood
Exponential smoothing: Estimation by maximum likelihood
1990,
In this paper several forecasting methods based on exponential
The application of numerical models to assess dispersion and deposition in the event of a nuclear accident
The application of numerical models to assess dispersion and deposition in the event of a nuclear accident
1991,
Numerical models have been widely used in risk studies to estimate how hypothetical...
Forecasting time series with increasing seasonal variation
Forecasting time series with increasing seasonal variation
1990,
Four options for modeling and forecasting time series data containing increasing...
Recursive estimation and forecasting of non-stationary time series
Recursive estimation and forecasting of non-stationary time series
1990,
The paper presents a unified, fully recursive approach to the modelling and...
Disaggregation methods to expedite product line forecasting
Disaggregation methods to expedite product line forecasting
1990,
This paper addresses the issue of forecasting individual items within a product line;...
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