Journal: International Journal of Forecasting

Found 1200 papers in total
Thinking about the future: A cognitive perspective
Thinking about the future: A cognitive perspective
1993,
The promises and challenges of a cognitive approach to strategic planning and...
Forecasting criminal sentencing decisions
Forecasting criminal sentencing decisions
1993,
This paper investigates the feasibility of developing bootstrapping models of criminal...
The effects of feedback and training on the performance of probability forecasters
The effects of feedback and training on the performance of probability forecasters
1992,
An experiment examined the effects of outcome feedback and three types of performance...
Business planning under uncertainty: Will we attain our goal?
Business planning under uncertainty: Will we attain our goal?
1992,
In business, planning often starts with an annual financial target which is then...
Predictive accuracy of simple versus complex econometric market share models: Theoretical and empirical results
Predictive accuracy of simple versus complex econometric market share models: Theoretical and empirical results
1992,
While econometric market share models have been shown to be useful to managers as...
An estimation model for country risk rating
An estimation model for country risk rating
1992,
Several statistical models, such as multiple regression, logistic regression (LOGIT),...
Projecting the number of new AIDS cases in the United States
Projecting the number of new AIDS cases in the United States
1992,
This paper reviews the two leading methods used to project the number of AIDS cases:...
The demographic impact of AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa: Short- and long-term projections
The demographic impact of AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa: Short- and long-term projections
1992,
This paper describes the methodology used to incorporate AIDS mortality in recently...
Modeling and forecasting U.S. sex differentials in mortality
Modeling and forecasting U.S. sex differentials in mortality
1992,
This paper examines forecasted differentials in age-sex-specific mortality in the...
Forecasting cause-specific mortality using time series methods
Forecasting cause-specific mortality using time series methods
1992,
Age profiles of cause-specific mortality for five leading causes of death are...
Projecting the future size and health status of the U.S. elderly population
Projecting the future size and health status of the U.S. elderly population
1992,
Federal demographic projections are often based on discrete state, discrete time...
Predicting childlessness for recent cohorts of American women
Predicting childlessness for recent cohorts of American women
1992,
Over 50% of white women now in the midst of the childbearing years have never...
A predicting system based on combining an adaptive predictor and a knowledge base as applied to a blast furnace
A predicting system based on combining an adaptive predictor and a knowledge base as applied to a blast furnace
1993,
In this paper a system is proposed and applied to predicting silicon content in pig...
Immigration and immigrant generations in population projections
Immigration and immigrant generations in population projections
1992,
This paper proposes a new model for population projections. This model projects an...
A comparison of four methods for projecting households
A comparison of four methods for projecting households
1992,
The purpose of this paper is to extend the headship rate method for projecting...
Into the twenty-first century with British households
Into the twenty-first century with British households
1992,
The future number and type of households is of vast importance in determining not only...
Combining vector forecasts to predict thoroughbred horse race outcomes
Combining vector forecasts to predict thoroughbred horse race outcomes
1992,
A large body of empirical studies has shown that a forecast developed by combining...
The magnitude of error due to different vital processes in population forecasts
The magnitude of error due to different vital processes in population forecasts
1992,
The propagation of error in stochastic cohort-component forecasts of population is...
Stochastic demographic forecasting
Stochastic demographic forecasting
1992,
This paper describes a particular approach to stochastic population forecasting, which...
Forecasting U.S. population totals with the Box-Jenkins approach
Forecasting U.S. population totals with the Box-Jenkins approach
1992,
The use of the Box-Jenkins approach for forecasting the population of the United...
Stochastic population forecasts and their uses
Stochastic population forecasts and their uses
1992,
The properties and uses of stochastic forecasts are discussed here. For linear...
Evaluating the forecast accuracy and bias of alternative population projections for states
Evaluating the forecast accuracy and bias of alternative population projections for states
1992,
Many different techniques can be used for making population projections. Most fall...
Judgemental revision of sales forecasts: The relative performance of judgementally revised versus non-revised forecasts
Judgemental revision of sales forecasts: The relative performance of judgementally revised versus non-revised forecasts
1992,
The judgemental revision of sales forecasts is an issue which is receiving increasing...
Exploring judgemental forecasting
Exploring judgemental forecasting
1992,
Most of the present knowledge of the accuracy or goodness of human judgement has been...
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