| Article ID: | iaor19932306 |
| Country: | Netherlands |
| Volume: | 8 |
| Issue: | 4 |
| Start Page Number: | 509 |
| End Page Number: | 527 |
| Publication Date: | Dec 1992 |
| Journal: | International Journal of Forecasting |
| Authors: | Mason Andrew, Racelis Rachel |
| Keywords: | forecasting: applications, developing countries |
The purpose of this paper is to extend the headship rate method for projecting households to encompass both sexes. Four models are considered that explicitly incorporate the impact of changes in the number of men and women on the number and joint age distribution of husband-wife households. The models are applied to the Philippines using data from the 1988 National Demographic Survey to project households to 2010. The models are also evaluated by ‘backcasting’ and comparing the results with special tabulations from the 1970 and 1980 censuses and the 1975 National Demographic Survey.