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Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Found
1200 papers
in total
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The predictive power of the money market term structure
1996,
Engsted Tom
The term structure of interest rates is analyzed using weekly data from the Danish...
Hailfinder: A Bayesian system for forecasting severe weather
1996,
Winkler Robert L.
Hailfinder is a Bayesian system that combines meteorological data and models with...
Prediction intervals for growth curve forecasts
1995,
Meade Nigel
Since growth curves are often used to produce medium- to long-term forecasts for...
Highest-density forecast regions for non-linear and non-normal time series models
1995,
Hyndman Rob J.
Forecast regions are a common way to summarize forecast accuracy. They usually consist...
The anchor and adjustment heuristic in time-series forecasting
1995,
OConnor Marcus
This paper explores the relevance of the anchor and adjustment heuristic in...
Modifying quantitative forecasts of livestock production using expert judgements-An application to the Australian lamb industry
1995,
Vere D.T.
The judgemental modification of quantitative forecasts has become increasingly adopted...
Forecasting technique familiarity, satisfaction, usage, and application
1995,
Mentzer John T.
A ten-year retrospective study was undertaken to answer the question ‘Have sales...
Backpropagation in time-series forecasting
1995,
Fuller J. David
One of the major constraints on the use of backpropagation neural networks as a...
Vector autoregression modelling and forecasting
1995,
Holden Ken
This paper provides an introduction to vector autoregression models, explaining their...
BVAR as a category management tool: An illustration and comparison with alternative techniques
1995,
Curry David J.
Categroy management-a relatively new function in marketing-involves large-scale,...
Forecasting US home sales using BVAR models and survey data on households’ buying attitudes for homes
1995,
Dua Pami
This study uses Bayesian vector autoregressive models to examine the usefulness of...
Combining VAR estimation and state space model reduction for simple good predictions
1995,
Gilbert Paul D.
A combination of VAR estimation and state space model reduction techniques are...
An integrated Bayesian vector autoregression and error correction model for forecasting electricity consumption and prices
1995,
Joutz Frederick L.
The analysis and forecasting of electricity consumption and prices has received...
An analysis of the international tourism demand in Spain
1995,
Gonzlez Pilar
In this paper the external demand for Spanish tourist services is analysed within the...
Prediction and control for a time-series count data model
1995,
Brnns Kurt
Time series of count data are becoming more widely available. In a recently suggested...
Does reliable information improve the accuracy of judgmental forecasts?
1995,
OConnor Marcus
This study investigates people’s ability to use information when forecasting...
dHugin: A computational system for dynamic time-sliced Bayesian networks
1995,
Kjaerulff Uffe
A computational system for reasoning about dynamic time-sliced systems using Bayesian...
Screening probability forecasts: Contrasts between choosing and combining
1995,
Clemen Robert T.
In many forecasting situations, forecasts can be produced by several different...
Comparing probability forecasts derived from theoretical distributions
1995,
Allen P. Geoffrey
Using the wrong forecast error distribution (typically the normal distribution) has...
Forecasting growth with time series models
1995,
Pea D.
This paper compares the structure of three models for estimating future growth in a...
Professional economic forecasts: Are they worth their costs?
1995,
Leitch G.
Most economic forecast evaluations dating back 20 years show that professional...
Forecasting with growth curves: An empirical comparison
1995,
Meade Nigel
The primary objective of this paper is to compare the forecasting performance of the...
Estimation of the variances of X-11 ARIMA seasonally adjusted estimators for a multiplicative decomposition and heteroscedastic variances
1995,
Pfeffermann Danny
Extensions of a method proposed by Pfeffermann for estimating the variances of X-11...
Judgmental and statistical methods of peak electric load management
1995,
Anderson Elizabeth A.
This paper presents the results of a study comparing two computerized peak-shaving...
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