Journal: International Journal of Forecasting

Found 1200 papers in total
Just what are we optimizing, anyway?
Just what are we optimizing, anyway?
1998,
The best techniques for optimizing financial market prediction models are generally...
Generating scenarios for global financial planning systems
Generating scenarios for global financial planning systems
1998,
Global financial planning requires representative scenarios drawn from stochastic...
Forecasting international quarterly tourist flows using error-correction and time-series models
Forecasting international quarterly tourist flows using error-correction and time-series models
1997,
This paper compares a range of forecasting models in the context of predicting...
A note on forecasting international tourism demand in Spain
A note on forecasting international tourism demand in Spain
1997,
This paper considers the extent to which price and income proxy variables help in...
Forecasting a collection of binomial proportions in the presence of covariates
Forecasting a collection of binomial proportions in the presence of covariates
1998,
A Bayesian predictive method is proposed for forecasting a binomial variate where the...
Model selection in univariate time series forecasting using discriminant analysis
Model selection in univariate time series forecasting using discriminant analysis
1997,
When a large number of time series are to be forecast on a regular basis, as in large...
Focus forecasting reconsidered
Focus forecasting reconsidered
1997,
Focus Forecasting is a popular heuristic methodology for production and inventory...
Further thoughts on simplicity and complexity in population projection models
Further thoughts on simplicity and complexity in population projection models
1997,
This article is a review of—and response to—a special issue of...
Combining qualitative forecasts using logit
Combining qualitative forecasts using logit
1998,
This paper introduces a computationally–convenient means of combining...
An estimation model for replicating the rankings of the World Competitiveness Report
An estimation model for replicating the rankings of the World Competitiveness Report
1997,
The World Competitiveness Report (WCR), a report annually produced by the Institute...
Forecasting with artificial neural networks: The state of the art
Forecasting with artificial neural networks: The state of the art
1998,
Interest in using artificial neural networks (ANNs) for forecasting has led to a...
Accuracy of judgmental extrapolation of time series data: Characteristics, causes, and remediation strategies for forecasting
Accuracy of judgmental extrapolation of time series data: Characteristics, causes, and remediation strategies for forecasting
1998,
This paper links social judgment theory to judgmental forecasting of time series data....
On the practical problems of computing seasonal unit root tests
On the practical problems of computing seasonal unit root tests
1997,
In this paper we explore the practical problems that can arise in computing the...
Seasonal integration and the evolving seasonals model
Seasonal integration and the evolving seasonals model
1997,
The paper uses a model of seasonality popular in the 1960s, the evolving seasonals...
An empirical study of seasonal unit roots in forecasting
An empirical study of seasonal unit roots in forecasting
1997,
We assess the usefulness of pre-testing for seasonal roots, based on the Hylleberg et...
Mean shifts, unit roots and forecasting seasonal time series
Mean shifts, unit roots and forecasting seasonal time series
1997,
Examples of descriptive models for changing seasonal patterns in economic time series...
Forecasting of seasonal cointegrated processes
Forecasting of seasonal cointegrated processes
1997,
In this paper, forecasts of seasonally cointegrated models are analysed applying the...
Forecasting with periodic models: A comparison with time invariant coefficient models
Forecasting with periodic models: A comparison with time invariant coefficient models
1997,
Working with seventeen quarterly UK macroeconomic variables, characterized as...
Modelling seasonal patterns and long-run trends in U.S. time series
Modelling seasonal patterns and long-run trends in U.S. time series
1997,
This paper discusses univariate methods used to deal with seasonal data with special...
Performance of periodic error correction models in forecasting consumption data
Performance of periodic error correction models in forecasting consumption data
1997,
Periodic time series models have become an appealing tool for the analysis of seasonal...
Evaluating the rationality of fixed-event forecasts
Evaluating the rationality of fixed-event forecasts
1997,
A test of forecast rationality based on the weak efficiency of fixed-event forecasts...
Organizational pressures on forecast evaluation: managerial, political, and procedural influences
Organizational pressures on forecast evaluation: managerial, political, and procedural influences
1997,
This paper proposes a theory to explain why some forecasting organizations...
Choosing the number of conditioning events in judgemental forecasting
Choosing the number of conditioning events in judgemental forecasting
1997,
One method for judgemental forecasting involves use of decomposition; i.e. estimating...
The performance of alternative forecasting methods for SETAR models
The performance of alternative forecasting methods for SETAR models
1997,
We compare a number of methods that have been proposed in the literature for obtaining...
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