| Article ID: | iaor1999765 |
| Country: | Netherlands |
| Volume: | 14 |
| Issue: | 1 |
| Start Page Number: | 5 |
| End Page Number: | 15 |
| Publication Date: | Jan 1998 |
| Journal: | International Journal of Forecasting |
| Authors: | Witt Stephen F., Stroud T.W.F., Sykes Alan M. |
| Keywords: | forecasting: applications |
A Bayesian predictive method is proposed for forecasting a binomial variate where the success probability varies across sites and years, in the presence of covariates. This is applied to the problem of forecasting, for the next year, participation in an annual conference whose location rotates and whose potential participants come from a number of specified countries or regions.