Goodwin Paul

Paul Goodwin

Information about the author Paul Goodwin will soon be added to the site.
Found 19 papers in total
The use of analogies in forecasting the annual sales of new electronics products
The use of analogies in forecasting the annual sales of new electronics products
2013
Mathematical models are often used to describe the sales and adoption patterns of...
Forecasting in supply chain companies: Should you trust your judgment?
Forecasting in supply chain companies: Should you trust your judgment?
2011
The details of a study of demand forecasting in four supply chain‐based...
Do forecasts expressed as prediction intervals improve production planning decisions?
Do forecasts expressed as prediction intervals improve production planning decisions?
2010
A number of studies have shown that providing point forecasts to decision makers can...
Expectations, use and judgmental adjustment of external financial and economic forecasts: an empirical investigation
Expectations, use and judgmental adjustment of external financial and economic forecasts: an empirical investigation
2009
A survey of 124 users of externally produced financial and economic forecasts in...
Against your better judgment? How organizations can improve their use of management judgment in forecasting
Against your better judgment? How organizations can improve their use of management judgment in forecasting
2007
Accurate forecasts are crucial to successful organizational planning. In 2001, 40...
The design features of forecasting support systems and their effectiveness
The design features of forecasting support systems and their effectiveness
2006
Forecasts play a key role in the management of the supply chain. In most organisations...
Weight approximations in multi-attribute decision models
Weight approximations in multi-attribute decision models
2002
The use of surrogate weights based on rankings has been proposed as a method for...
Providing support for decisions based on time series information under conditions of asymmetric loss
Providing support for decisions based on time series information under conditions of asymmetric loss
2005
In an experiment decision-makers used time series information on the past demand for...
Debiasing forecasts: how useful is the unbiasedness test?
Debiasing forecasts: how useful is the unbiasedness test?
2003
A number of studies have demonstrated the improvements in accuracy that can result...
Feedback-labelling synergies in judgmental stock price forecasting
Feedback-labelling synergies in judgmental stock price forecasting
2004
Research has suggested that outcome feedback is less effective than other forms of...
Integrating management judgement and statistical methods to improve short-term forecasts
Integrating management judgement and statistical methods to improve short-term forecasts
2000
The complementary strengths that management judgement and statistical methods can...
Influence of user participation on decision support systems use and decision accuracy
Influence of user participation on decision support systems use and decision accuracy
2002
The paper reports a study of the impact on user satisfaction and forecast accuracy of...
Future-focused thinking: Combining scenario planning with decision analysis
Future-focused thinking: Combining scenario planning with decision analysis
1999
This paper first describes current practice in decision analysis and argues that...
Improving the voluntary integration of statistical forecasts and judgment
Improving the voluntary integration of statistical forecasts and judgment
2000
When regular time series patterns are disturbed by foreseeable special events,...
Rethinking value elicitation for personal consequential decisions
Rethinking value elicitation for personal consequential decisions
1999
The application of multiattribute decision analysis to personal consequential decision...
On the asymmetry of the symmetric mean absolute percentage error
On the asymmetry of the symmetric mean absolute percentage error
1999
Several authors have suggested that the use of the mean absolute percentage error...
Adjusting judgemental extrapolations using Theil's method and discounted weighted regression
Adjusting judgemental extrapolations using Theil's method and discounted weighted regression
1997
Theil's method can be applied to judgemental forecasts to remove systematic errors....
Remarks on the application of the analytic hierarchy process to judgmental forecasting
Remarks on the application of the analytic hierarchy process to judgmental forecasting
1996
The analytical hierarchy process has been proposed as a method for improving...
Improving judgmental time series forecasting: A review of the guidance provided by research
Improving judgmental time series forecasting: A review of the guidance provided by research
1993
This study reviews the research literature on judgmental time series forecasting in...
Papers per page: