| Article ID: | iaor1994435 |
| Country: | Netherlands |
| Volume: | 9 |
| Issue: | 2 |
| Start Page Number: | 147 |
| End Page Number: | 161 |
| Publication Date: | Apr 1993 |
| Journal: | International Journal of Forecasting |
| Authors: | Wright George, Goodwin Paul |
This study reviews the research literature on judgmental time series forecasting in order to assess: (i) the quality of inferences about judgmental forecasting in practice which can be drawn from this research; (ii) what is currently known about the processes employed by people when producing judgmental forecasts; (iii) the current evidence that certain strategies can lead to more accurate judgmental forecasts. A key focus of the paper is the identification of areas where further research is needed.