(Sub) Optimality and (non) optimal satisficing in risky decision experiments

(Sub) Optimality and (non) optimal satisficing in risky decision experiments

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Article ID: iaor20173203
Volume: 83
Issue: 2
Start Page Number: 195
End Page Number: 243
Publication Date: Aug 2017
Journal: Theory and Decision
Authors: , , , ,
Keywords: optimization, experiment, risk, behaviour
Abstract:

We implement a risky choice experiment based on one‐dimensional choice variables and risk neutrality induced via binary lottery incentives. Each participant confronts many parameter constellations with varying optimal payoffs. We assess (sub)optimality, as well as (non)optimal satisficing by eliciting aspirations in addition to choices. Treatments differ in the probability that a binary random event, which are payoff–but not optimal choice–relevant is experimentally induced and whether participants choose portfolios directly or via satisficing, i.e., by forming aspirations and checking for satisficing before making their choice. By incentivizing aspiration formation, we can test satisficing, and in cases of satisficing, determine whether it is optimal.

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