Portfolio Analysis Using Stochastic Dominance, Relative Entropy, and Empirical Likelihood

Portfolio Analysis Using Stochastic Dominance, Relative Entropy, and Empirical Likelihood

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Article ID: iaor2017328
Volume: 63
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 153
End Page Number: 165
Publication Date: Jan 2017
Journal: Management Science
Authors: ,
Keywords: management, stochastic processes, statistics: empirical, simulation
Abstract:

This study formulates portfolio analysis in terms of stochastic dominance, relative entropy, and empirical likelihood. We define a portfolio inefficiency measure based on the divergence between given probabilities and the nearest probabilities that rationalize a given portfolio for some admissible utility function. When applied to a sample of time‐series observations in a blockwise fashion, the inefficiency measure becomes a likelihood ratio statistic for testing inequality moment conditions. The limiting distribution of the test statistic is bounded by a chi‐squared distribution under general sampling schemes, allowing for conservative large‐sample testing. We develop a tight numerical approximation for the test statistic based on a two‐stage optimization procedure and piecewise linearization techniques. A Monte Carlo simulation study of the empirical likelihood ratio test shows superior small‐sample properties compared with various generalized method of moments tests. An application analyzes the efficiency of a passive stock market index in data sets from the empirical asset pricing literature. This paper was accepted by Manel Baucells, decision analysis.

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