Hidden regret in insurance markets

Hidden regret in insurance markets

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Article ID: iaor2016586
Volume: 83
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 181
End Page Number: 216
Publication Date: Jan 2016
Journal: Journal of Risk and Insurance
Authors: , ,
Keywords: statistics: empirical, risk, information
Abstract:

We examine insurance markets with two‐dimensional asymmetric information on risk type and on preferences related to regret. In contrast to Rothschild and Stiglitz (), the equilibrium can be efficient; that is, it can coincide with the equilibrium under full information. Furthermore, we show that pooling, semipooling, and separating equilibria can exist. Specifically, there exist separating equilibria that predict a positive correlation between the level of insurance coverage and risk type, as in the standard economic models of adverse selection, but there also exist separating equilibria that predict a negative correlation between the level of insurance coverage and risk type. Since optimal choice of regretful customers depends on foregone alternatives, the equilibrium includes a contract that is offered but not purchased.

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