Information and ambiguity: herd and contrarian behaviour in financial markets

Information and ambiguity: herd and contrarian behaviour in financial markets

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Article ID: iaor20134256
Volume: 75
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 1
End Page Number: 15
Publication Date: Jul 2013
Journal: Theory and Decision
Authors: , ,
Keywords: economics, behaviour, information
Abstract:

The paper studies the impact of informational ambiguity on behalf of informed traders on history‐dependent price behaviour in a model of sequential trading in financial markets. Following Chateauneuf et al. (2008), we use neo‐additive capacities to model ambiguity. Such ambiguity and attitudes to it can engender herd and contrarian behaviour, and also cause the market to break down. The latter, herd and contrarian behaviour, can be reduced by the existence of a bid‐ask spread.

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