Incorporating fractal concepts into equations of attrition for military conflicts

Incorporating fractal concepts into equations of attrition for military conflicts

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Article ID: iaor20091248
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 59
Issue: 5
Start Page Number: 703
End Page Number: 713
Publication Date: May 2008
Journal: Journal of the Operational Research Society
Authors: ,
Keywords: simulation: applications, practice
Abstract:

Using an agent-based model as a ‘battlefield laboratory’, we explore equations of combat attrition which extend beyond the conventional Lanchester equations and which endeavour to encapsulate the more complex aspects of warfare. Our approach compares predictions from candidate attrition equations with casualty data generated artificially from an agent-based model. For situations where the initial regimented structure of the fighting forces breaks down, introducing fractal concepts into the attrition equations proves effective at encapsulating complex aspects of the battle; with details in the time dependence of the casualty data able to be reproduced.

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