Effect of toss and weather on County Cricket Championship outcomes

Effect of toss and weather on County Cricket Championship outcomes

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Article ID: iaor2009498
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 26
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 3
End Page Number: 13
Publication Date: Jan 2008
Journal: Journal of Sports Sciences
Authors: ,
Keywords: meteorology
Abstract:

The principal competition in English professional cricket has become more competitive with the introduction of hierarchical divisions linked by promotion and relegation. Using regression analysis, we examine the effect on league points when teams suffer different degrees of weather disruption over the season and different amounts of luck in winning the toss for choice of first innings. The results are used to illustrate the sensitivity of championship, promotion, and relegation outcomes to such matters of chance and revised league tables are produced after applying adjustments to account for the influence of weather and toss. Policy recommendations are presented on how the influence of weather and toss might be lessened in future seasons.

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