Use of individual and group seasonal indices in subaggregate demand forecasting

Use of individual and group seasonal indices in subaggregate demand forecasting

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Article ID: iaor20084205
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 58
Issue: 12
Start Page Number: 1660
End Page Number: 1671
Publication Date: Dec 2007
Journal: Journal of the Operational Research Society
Authors: ,
Abstract:

An individual seasonal indices method and two group seasonal indices methods proposed in the literature are compared, based on two models. Rules have been established to choose between these methods and insights are gained on the conditions under which one method outperforms the others. Simulation findings confirm that using the rules improves forecasting accuracy against universal application of these methods.

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