The importance of decoupling recurrent and disruption risks in a supply chain

The importance of decoupling recurrent and disruption risks in a supply chain

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Article ID: iaor20082366
Country: United States
Volume: 54
Issue: 5
Start Page Number: 544
End Page Number: 555
Publication Date: Aug 2007
Journal: Naval Research Logistics
Authors: , ,
Keywords: supply & supply chains, risk
Abstract:

This paper focuses on the importance of decoupling recurrent supply risk and disruption risk when planning appropriate mitigation strategies. We show that bundling the two uncertainties leads a manager to underutilize a reliable source while over-utilizing a cheaper but less reliable supplier. As in an earlier paper, we show that increasing quantity from a cheaper but less reliable source is an effective risk mitigation strategy if most of the supply risk growth comes from an increase in recurrent uncertainty. In contrast, we show that a firm should order more from a reliable source and less from a cheaper but less reliable source if most of the supply risk growth comes from an increase in disruption probability.

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