Speaking of decisions: Precise decision language

Speaking of decisions: Precise decision language

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Article ID: iaor20062375
Country: United States
Volume: 1
Issue: 2
Start Page Number: 71
End Page Number: 78
Publication Date: Jun 2004
Journal: Decision Analysis
Authors:
Keywords: history, practice
Abstract:

This paper presents the current state of evolution of a language for teaching and practising decision analysis that may avoid confusion of students, clients, and ourselves. Many of the terms currently used are inaccurate, arcane, or unnecessary. Restricting decision language to terms that are accurate, familiar, and fundamental contributes to clarity of thought and understanding. To illustrate the type of changes advocated, I propose replacing dependence with relevance, expectation with e-value, utility with u-value, and eschewing subjective probability, confidence, uncertainty about probability, any distinction between risk and uncertainty, and states of nature. I show how to incorporate the new terminology in teaching and practice.

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