Mortality risk and life expectancy

Mortality risk and life expectancy

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Article ID: iaor1988462
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 40
Issue: 2
Start Page Number: 199
End Page Number: 200
Publication Date: Feb 1989
Journal: Journal of the Operational Research Society
Authors:
Keywords: decision, risk
Abstract:

Changing the mortality risks we face would change human life expectancy. As a special case, one could imagine adding a fixed increment R to all the age-specific mortality rates from age zero upwards. For this case we seek a constant K(A) such that K(AR approximates the resulting change in life expectancy remaining at age A, at least for small values of R. The formula for K(A) derived here corrects a heuristic argument that appeared in JORS earlier. An estimate of K(0) suggests that the permanent addition of a one-in-a-million risk at each year of life would reduce life expectancy at birth by about 1 day-a useful fact for risk communication.

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