Smith James E.

James E. Smith

Information about the author James E. Smith will soon be added to the site.
Found 17 papers in total
Your money or your life: A prescriptive model for health, safety, and consumption decisions
Your money or your life: A prescriptive model for health, safety, and consumption decisions
2005
In this paper we develop a conceptual framework and model for valuing risks to an...
The optimizer's curse: Skepticism and postdecision surprise in decision analysis
The optimizer's curse: Skepticism and postdecision surprise in decision analysis
2006
Decision analysis produces measures of value such as expected net present values or...
Decision analysis in Management Science
Decision analysis in Management Science
2004
As part of the 50th anniversary of Management Science , the journal is publishing...
Optimal sequential exploration: A binary learning model
Optimal sequential exploration: A binary learning model
2006
In this paper, we develop a practical and flexible framework for evaluating sequential...
Precise decision language
Precise decision language
2004
Howard proposes a ‘precise decision language’ that aims to improve clarity...
Alternative approaches for solving real-options problems
Alternative approaches for solving real-options problems
2005
Brandao et al. describe an approach for using traditional decision analysis tools to...
Risk sharing, fiduciary duty, and corporate risk attitudes
Risk sharing, fiduciary duty, and corporate risk attitudes
2004
In this paper, we consider the problem of determining corporate risk preferences that...
Structural properties of stochastic dynamic programs
Structural properties of stochastic dynamic programs
2002
In Markov models of sequential decision processes, one is often interested in showing...
Short-term variations and long-term dynamics in commodity prices
Short-term variations and long-term dynamics in commodity prices
2000
In this article, we develop a two-factor model of commodity prices that allows...
Options in the real world: Lessons learned in evaluating oil and gas investments
Options in the real world: Lessons learned in evaluating oil and gas investments
1999
Many firms in the oil and gas business have long used decision analysis techniques to...
Casey's problem: Interpreting and evaluating a new test
Casey's problem: Interpreting and evaluating a new test
1999
Casey, the newborn daughter of one of the authors of this paper, received a positive...
Evaluating income streams: A decision analysis approach
Evaluating income streams: A decision analysis approach
1998
Most important decision problems – virtually all capital investments and...
Valuing oil properties: Integrating option pricing and decision analysis approaches
Valuing oil properties: Integrating option pricing and decision analysis approaches
1998
There are two major competing procedures for evaluating risky projects where...
Generalized Chebychev inequalities: Theory and applications in decision analysis
Generalized Chebychev inequalities: Theory and applications in decision analysis
1995
In many decision analysis problems, we have only limited information about the...
Valuing risky projects: Option pricing theory and decision analysis
Valuing risky projects: Option pricing theory and decision analysis
1995
In the academic literature and professional practice, there are a number of...
Moment methods for decision analysis
Moment methods for decision analysis
1993
Decision models involving continuous probability distributions almost always require...
Structuring conditional relationships in influence diagrams
Structuring conditional relationships in influence diagrams
1993
An influence diagram is a graphical representation of a decision problem that is at...
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