Local Risk, Local Factors, and Asset Prices

Local Risk, Local Factors, and Asset Prices

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Article ID: iaor20177
Volume: 72
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 325
End Page Number: 370
Publication Date: Feb 2017
Journal: The Journal of Finance
Authors: ,
Keywords: risk, geography & environment, production
Abstract:

Firm location affects firm risk through local factor prices. We find more procyclical factor prices such as wages and real estate prices in areas with more cyclical economies, namely, high ‘local beta’ areas. While procyclical wages provide a natural hedge against aggregate shocks and reduce firm risk, procyclical prices of real estate, which are part of firm assets, increase firm risk. We confirm that firms located in higher local beta areas have lower industry‐adjusted returns and conditional betas, and show that the effect is stronger among firms with low real estate holdings. A production‐based equilibrium model explains these empirical findings.

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