Asset Pricing without Garbage

Asset Pricing without Garbage

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Article ID: iaor20173
Volume: 72
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 47
End Page Number: 98
Publication Date: Feb 2017
Journal: The Journal of Finance
Authors:
Keywords: financial, risk, simulation
Abstract:

This paper provides an explanation for why garbage implies a much lower relative risk aversion in the consumption‐based asset pricing model than National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) consumption expenditure: Unlike garbage, NIPA consumption is filtered to mitigate measurement error. I apply a simple model of the filtering process that allows one to undo the filtering inherent in NIPA consumption. ‘Unfiltered NIPA consumption’ well explains the equity premium and is priced in the cross‐section of stock returns. I discuss the likely properties of true consumption (i.e., without measurement error and filtering) and quantify implications for habit and long‐run risk models.

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