Sensitivity analysis of discrete event systems by the ‘push out’ method

Sensitivity analysis of discrete event systems by the ‘push out’ method

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Article ID: iaor19931623
Country: Switzerland
Volume: 39
Issue: 1/4
Start Page Number: 229
End Page Number: 250
Publication Date: Jan 1993
Journal: Annals of Operations Research
Authors:
Keywords: sensitivity analysis
Abstract:

Let equ1be the expected performance measure of a discrete event system (DES), where L is the sample performance depending on the vector of parameters ν2 and driven by an input vector Y, which has a probability density function (pdf) equ2 is a vector of parameters, and the subscript ν1 in equ3 indicates that the expectation is taken with respect to the pdf equ4. Suppose that equ5 is not available analytically and it is required to evaluate (estimate) it, as well as the associated sensitivities equ6simultaneously for different values of equ7via simulation. This paper shows that in some cases interesting for applications, equ8 and equ9 can be estimated by using the so-called ‘push out’ technique. More precisely, it is shown that it is possible to replace the original sample performance by an auxiliary one while ‘pushing out’ the parameter vector equ10from the original sample performance function equ11 to a pdf equ12associated with the original one equ13. The paper also shows how both the auxiliary sample performance and the associated pdf can be obtained from their original counterparts and how to combine them together to perform sensitivity analysis for the original DES. Particular emphasis will be placed on the case where the sample performance function equ14 is neither analytically available nor everywhere differentiable in equ15. The paper finally discusses the advantage of the proposed method and present numerical results supporting the presents theory.

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