Article ID: | iaor20163022 |
Volume: | 36 |
Issue: | 8 |
Start Page Number: | 1589 |
End Page Number: | 1598 |
Publication Date: | Aug 2016 |
Journal: | Risk Analysis |
Authors: | Powell Mark R |
Keywords: | medicine, biology, risk, measurement, statistics: inference |
Retrospective review is a key to designing effective food safety measures. The analysis examines trends in the reported incidence of illness due to bacterial pathogens commonly transmitted by food in the United States during 1996–2013 with and without specifying a model form for trend. The findings indicate early declines in reported incidence followed by a period of no significant trend for Campylobacter, Listeria, Shiga toxin‐producing Escherichia coli O157, and Yersinia. The results are inconclusive about whether there is no trend or an increasing trend for Salmonella. While Shigella exhibits a continuous decline, Vibrio exhibits a continuous increase. Overall, the findings indicate a lack of evidence for continuous reduction in illness due to bacterial pathogens commonly transmitted by food in the United States during 1996–2013.