Exploring risk-return relations in dry bulk shipping

Exploring risk-return relations in dry bulk shipping

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Article ID: iaor20162740
Volume: 8
Issue: 4
Start Page Number: 488
End Page Number: 506
Publication Date: Jun 2016
Journal: International Journal of Shipping and Transport Logistics
Authors: , ,
Keywords: risk, economics, financial
Abstract:

This study investigates the risk‐return relations in dry‐bulk shipping freight, and to analyse how it was influenced by the 2008 financial tsunami. Empirical results show that the shipping freight's risk‐return relation, measured by risk premium parameter β, varies by different types of ship. The risk‐return relations of capesize freight have changed after the financial tsunami, from high‐risk/high‐return into high‐risk/low‐return. In other words, compared to the case of Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500), there have been significant declines in the freight risk premiums. Furthermore, the risk premium parameter β is not only affected by the financial tsunami, but also significantly affected by the previous parameter β and previous freight return. The results of this study can make shipping operators aware of the dynamics of risk‐return relations among various ships, so as to secure the optimal asset allocation of ship investments.

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