Article ID: | iaor201525530 |
Volume: | 17 |
Issue: | 3 |
Start Page Number: | 171 |
End Page Number: | 187 |
Publication Date: | Jun 2014 |
Journal: | International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management |
Authors: | Solozhentsev Eugene Dmitrievich |
Keywords: | social, economics |
We propose the risk of logic and probabilistic management technologies of social and economic systems for informational and analytical support of leaders and of managers to make decisions. We describe components of risk management technologies. We give an example of risk logic and probabilistic (LP) model of successful development of Russia. We state methods of quantitative LP‐analysis and operational and strategic LP‐management of risk. We develop the methods and procedures of synthesis and analysis of events probabilities in risk LP‐models.