Simple two dimensional models for the spread of a disease

Simple two dimensional models for the spread of a disease

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Article ID: iaor1988842
Country: United States
Volume: 5
Start Page Number: 131
End Page Number: 159
Publication Date: Feb 1989
Journal: Communications in Statistics - Stochastic Models
Authors:
Keywords: medicine, ecology, biology
Abstract:

A simple two dimensional stochastic model is proposed to model the spread of a disease amongst a fixed population. Two versions of this model are obtained which make assumptions corresponding to the assumptions made in the Greenwood and Reed-Frost Chain Binomial epidemic models. The epidemic is controlled by immunization so as to minimize the expected number of people infected. Some results, conjectures and counterexamples concerning the optimal policy are presented.

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