Article ID: | iaor2012737 |
Volume: | 32 |
Issue: | 2 |
Start Page Number: | 200 |
End Page Number: | 219 |
Publication Date: | Feb 2012 |
Journal: | Risk Analysis |
Authors: | Paltrinieri Nicola, Bonvicini Sarah, Spadoni Gigliola, Cozzani Valerio |
Keywords: | risk, simulation: applications, transportation: road |
The cost-benefit evaluation of passive fire protection adoption in the road transport of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) was investigated. In a previous study, mathematical simulations of real scale fire scenarios proved the effectiveness of passive fire protections in preventing the ‘fired’ boiling liquid expanding vapor explosion (BLEVE), thus providing a significant risk reduction. In the present study the economical aspects of the adoption of fire protections are analyzed and an approach to cost-benefit analysis (CBA) is proposed. The CBA model is based on the comparison of the risk reduction due to fire protections (expressed in monetary terms by the value of a statistical life) and the cost of the application of fire protections to a fleet of tankers. Different types of fire protections were considered, as well as the possibility to apply protections to the entire fleet or only to a part of it. The application of the proposed model to a real-life case study is presented and discussed. Results demonstrate that the adoption of passive fire protections on road tankers, though not compulsory in Europe, can be economically feasible, thus representing a concrete measure to achieve control of the ‘major hazard accidents’ cited by the European legislation.