Estimating prevalence and incidence of HIV/AIDS in the U.S. using spreadsheet methods

Estimating prevalence and incidence of HIV/AIDS in the U.S. using spreadsheet methods

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Article ID: iaor19921801
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 19
Start Page Number: 79
End Page Number: 93
Publication Date: Mar 1992
Journal: Computers and Operations Research
Authors: ,
Keywords: spreadsheets
Abstract:

The authors use a sequence of procedures, Cohort Cascade, built up from estimated progression rates for time-to-AIDS of an HIV-infected cohort to transform the currently published official U.S. AIDS Onset data (by year of diagnosis) into an estimated dataset for years 1976-1985. They then extrapolate rates based on this dataset to generate a second dataset for the years 1986-1995. For brevity’s sake, the combined output presented in this paper is an HIV stage-specific estimate of the HIV/AIDS population for the years 1976-1992. The present procedure includes the consideration of underreporting and lags in data collection.

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