Modeling process‐switching decisions under product life cycle uncertainty

Modeling process‐switching decisions under product life cycle uncertainty

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Article ID: iaor20115550
Volume: 126
Issue: 2
Start Page Number: 236
End Page Number: 246
Publication Date: Aug 2010
Journal: International Journal of Production Economics
Authors: , ,
Keywords: decision: rules
Abstract:

We address the process‐switching decision of a firm that adopts a mixed process strategy with respect to a new product in the context of product life cycle uncertainty. A mixed process strategy uses a flexible process in the early stages of the product's life cycle and later switches to a dedicated process to gain cost economies. We present a model that captures uncertainty through alternative life‐cycle demand functions to guide the process‐switching decision. We develop a dynamic decision rule that can be used with any uncertainty‐resolution scheme and demonstrate its application and robustness using an illustrative numerical example.

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