On numerical calculation of probabilities according to Dirichlet distribution

On numerical calculation of probabilities according to Dirichlet distribution

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Article ID: iaor20104503
Volume: 177
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 185
End Page Number: 200
Publication Date: Jun 2010
Journal: Annals of Operations Research
Authors: ,
Abstract:

The main difficulty in numerical solution of probabilistic constrained stochastic programming problems is the calculation of the probability values according to the underlying multivariate probability distribution. In addition, when we are using a nonlinear programming algorithm for the solution of the problem, the calculation of the first and second order partial derivatives may also be necessary. In this paper we give solutions to the above problems in the case of Dirichlet distribution. For the calculation of the cumulative distribution function values, the Lauricella function series expansions will be applied up to 7 dimensions. For higher dimensions we propose the hypermultitree bound calculations and a variance reduction simulation procedure based on these bounds. There will be given formulae for the calculation of the first and second order partial derivatives, too. The common property of these formulae is that they involve only lower dimensional cumulative distribution function calculations. Numerical test results will also be presented.

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