On improving time series forecasting

On improving time series forecasting

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Article ID: iaor1992763
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 19
Start Page Number: 502
End Page Number: 505
Publication Date: Nov 1991
Journal: OMEGA
Authors: ,
Abstract:

This note discusses the importance of a test to determine the degree of differencing necessary to achieve a stationary time series for forecasting. For the situation considered, the unit root detection process enables easy identification of the underlying ARIMA model, and thus ARIMA modelling can be applied more effectively.

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