Article ID: | iaor200947154 |
Country: | United Kingdom |
Volume: | 4 |
Issue: | 4 |
Start Page Number: | 363 |
End Page Number: | 389 |
Publication Date: | Feb 2009 |
Journal: | International Journal of Operational Research |
Authors: | Min Hokey, Sohn Young Hwan |
Keywords: | search, location, measurement |
The timely repositioning of a long‐range weapon, such as missiles, is crucial to attack moving targets. This paper proposes a stochastic model where Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) are utilised to aid a battery of long‐range weapons in acquiring moving targets, assessing their battle damage, and incorporating such information into the repositioning. A closed‐form expression for the time‐dependent state probabilities of the system is developed, which is used to estimate several important combat measures: the time‐varying mean and variance of the number of surviving UAVs and surviving enemy targets; the mission success and failure rate and the probability of a combat draw; the mean and variance of the combat duration time.