Modelling financial time series with SEMIFAR–GARCH model

Modelling financial time series with SEMIFAR–GARCH model

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Article ID: iaor20083157
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 18
Issue: 4
Start Page Number: 395
End Page Number: 412
Publication Date: Oct 2007
Journal: IMA Journal of Management Mathematics (Print)
Authors: , ,
Keywords: forecasting: applications, time series & forecasting methods
Abstract:

A class of semiparametric fractional autoregressive models with generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (GARCH) errors, which includes deterministic trends, difference stationarity and stationarity with short- and long-range dependence and heteroskedastic model errors, is very powerful for modelling financial time series. This paper discusses the model fitting, including an efficient algorithm and parameter estimation of GARCH error term, so that the model can be applied in practice. We then illustrate the model and estimation methods with a few of different finance data sets.

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