A cautionary note on outlier robust estimation of threshold models

A cautionary note on outlier robust estimation of threshold models

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Article ID: iaor20081523
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 25
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 37
End Page Number: 47
Publication Date: Jan 2006
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Authors:
Abstract:

Chan and Cheung propose a GM approach to outlier robust estimation of threshold models. We show that their estimator can be inconsistent and extremely inefficient even when the model is correctly specified and the disturbances are normally distributed, and outline situations in which the problem is likely to be more severe.

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