Evolving foresight in a small transition economy

Evolving foresight in a small transition economy

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Article ID: iaor2008572
Country: United Kingdom
Volume: 22
Issue: 2/3
Start Page Number: 179
End Page Number: 201
Publication Date: Mar 2003
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Authors:
Keywords: innovation, developing countries, economics
Abstract:

Hungary launched its first Technology Foresight Programme (TEP) in 1997. This was a holistic foresight programme, based on panel activities and a large-scale Delphi survey, with a strong emphasis on socio-economic needs. The paper discusses why a foresight exercise is relevant to a transition country, then describes what was done (organization, methods and results), and how the process evolved in Hungary. Policy conclusions, methodological lessons and questions for further research are also offered.

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