Article ID: | iaor2008572 |
Country: | United Kingdom |
Volume: | 22 |
Issue: | 2/3 |
Start Page Number: | 179 |
End Page Number: | 201 |
Publication Date: | Mar 2003 |
Journal: | International Journal of Forecasting |
Authors: | Havas Attila |
Keywords: | innovation, developing countries, economics |
Hungary launched its first Technology Foresight Programme (TEP) in 1997. This was a holistic foresight programme, based on panel activities and a large-scale Delphi survey, with a strong emphasis on socio-economic needs. The paper discusses why a foresight exercise is relevant to a transition country, then describes what was done (organization, methods and results), and how the process evolved in Hungary. Policy conclusions, methodological lessons and questions for further research are also offered.