Real options: Batch process and market entry/exit decisions under uncertainty

Real options: Batch process and market entry/exit decisions under uncertainty

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Article ID: iaor20071312
Country: Singapore
Volume: 21
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 35
End Page Number: 52
Publication Date: Jan 2004
Journal: Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research
Authors: ,
Keywords: exchange rates
Abstract:

Under uncertainty of exchange rate, we extend the batch process production model of Lin et al. by considering an export-oriented manufacturer making decisions to switch freely between domestic and foreign locations. The export-oriented manufacturer is risk neutral and has rational expectations. We use dynamic programming and Lagrange multipliers for a stochastic optimization control problem to get the productive value of exporter products in domestic and foreign locations. Next, the export-oriented manufacturer can make decision regarding the optimal entry (exit) trigger for transferable locations wherever the product locations are. It provides the supplier with another way to make decisions.

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