Sex, lies, and the Hillblom estate: A decision analysis

Sex, lies, and the Hillblom estate: A decision analysis

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Article ID: iaor20062406
Country: United States
Volume: 1
Issue: 3
Start Page Number: 149
End Page Number: 166
Publication Date: Sep 2004
Journal: Decision Analysis
Authors: ,
Keywords: game theory
Abstract:

We present three approaches to evaluating a publicly detailed, high-stakes, high-risk decision made by an heir-claimant to the estate of Larry Hillblom. The first two approaches are standard: a decision tree focusing on risk aversion and a multiperiod consumption model that highlights the effects of forgone consumption. In the third approach, we embed several Nash bargaining games into the decision tree developed in the first approach.

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